Research on Stock Price Prediction and Quantitative Stock Picking Strategy Based on Deep Learning

Authors

  • Jiahao Ji

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62051/v47p3p43

Keywords:

Deep Learning; Whale Optimization Algorithm; Attention Mechanism; Stock Price Prediction.

Abstract

With the continuous development of the domestic stock market and the continuous improvement of the financial system system, and at the same time, the domestic stock market gradually rises in the financial system, based on the prediction research of the domestic stock market will become more and more important. In order to solve the problems of low precision and poor accuracy of short-term stock price prediction, this paper selects the bi-directional long- and short-term memory network of attention mechanism (WOA-BiLSTM-Attenion) model under the whale optimization algorithm for stock price prediction. The modeling of bi-directional long- and short-term memory network with attention mechanism can reduce the loss of historical information and increase the influence of important information. On this basis, Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is then used for hyperparameter selection to reduce human interference. The experimental results show that compared with BP, LSTM, BiLSTM, BiLSTM-Attention, the WOA-BiLSTM-Attenion model has a better effect on stock closing price prediction, with a value of 13.9446, and the value of 0.9477, which has a higher accuracy, with a view to providing certain reference for the prediction research in other fields.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ariyo A A, Adewumi A O, Ayo C K. Stock price prediction using the ARIMA model[C]//2014 UKSim-AMSS 16th international conference on computer modelling and simulation. IEEE, 2014: 106-112.

White H. Economic prediction using neural networks: The case of IBM daily stock returns[C]//ICNN. 1988, 2: 451-458.

Senol D, Ozturan M. Stock price direction prediction using artificial neural network approach: The case of Turkey[J].Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 2009,1(2):70-77.

Yaqub M U, Al-Ahmadi M S. Application of combined ARMA-neural network models to predict stock prices[C]//Proceedings of the The 3rd Multidisciplinary International Social Networks Conference on SocialInformatics 2016, Data Science 2016. 2016: 1-5.

Bao W, Yue J, Rao Y. A deep learning framework for financial time series using stacked autoencoders and long-short term memory[J]. PloS one, 2017, 12(7): e0180944.

Akita R, Yoshihara A, Matsubara T, et al. Deep learning for stock prediction using numerical and textual information[C]//2016 IEEE/ACIS 15th International Conference on Computer and Information Science (ICIS). IEEE, 2016: 1-6.

Lin J, Keogh E, Wei L, et al. Experiencing SAX: a novel symbolic representation of time series[J]. Data Mining and knowledge discovery, 2007, 15: 107-144.

Nair Binoy B, Mohandas V P, Sakthivel N R. A genetic algorithm optimized decision tree-SVM based stock market trend prediction system[J]. International journal on computer science and engineering, 2010, 2(9): 2981-2988.

Gao W. Modeling stock market using new hybrid intelligent method based on MFNN and IBHA[J]. Soft Computing, 2022, 26(15): 7317-7337.

Downloads

Published

10-04-2024

How to Cite

Ji, J. (2024) “Research on Stock Price Prediction and Quantitative Stock Picking Strategy Based on Deep Learning”, Transactions on Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Research, 3, pp. 19–26. doi:10.62051/v47p3p43.